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November 22.2025
2 Minutes Read

What Does the MD-11 Grounding Mean for Holiday Shipping Rates?

Close-up of UPS aircraft tail, part of MD-11 cargo grounding impact.

Minimal Impacts on Air Cargo from MD-11 Grounding

After a tragic crash involving a UPS cargo plane in Kentucky, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) mandated the grounding of all MD-11 aircraft, which prompted concerns regarding holiday shipping logistics. However, analysts suggest the effects on air cargo rates and delivery timelines during this peak season will be minimal. According to Stifel analysts, while the grounding of these planes will temporarily take some capacity out of circulation, UPS and FedEx have established contingency plans that ensure continued service.

How Will Grounded Planes Affect Holiday Deliveries?

The MD-11s, although only a small portion of the overall fleets—9% for UPS and 5% for FedEx—represent a significant capacity when it comes to parcel delivery, capable of carrying 20,000 packages per plane. The grounding has implications for air freight rates, which have already seen a 4% increase as companies like UPS and FedEx adjust their operational strategies to manage deliveries. They have consolidated flight routes and leveraged additional aircraft to ensure that parcels are moved efficiently, keeping service disruptions to a minimum even as volumes are predicted to surge by 5% this holiday.

Industry Experts Weigh In on Contingency Plans

Logistics professionals are optimistic about the companies' readiness to adapt. Both UPS and FedEx have stated they are tapping into their broader networks—this includes repurposing passenger planes for cargo, employing ground transportation, and even utilizing extra aircraft as necessary. “Safety is paramount,” stated UPS in response to the grounding, emphasizing that no additional peak season surcharges will be applied. Instead, they are focusing on enhancing their infrastructure to bolster delivery capabilities.

Preparing for the Holiday Shipping Season: Tips for Consumers

As holiday shoppers anticipate increased demand for delivery services, experts advise early shopping and sending packages to mitigate any potential disruptions. Ensuring that items are shipped well in advance can alleviate anxiety over delays, particularly during the busy holiday season when every bit of transportation capacity counts. With a forecast of 2.3 billion packages expected to be delivered, all involved must remain vigilant about preparation.

Conclusion: A Shift Towards Adaptation

While the grounding of MD-11 aircraft presents challenges, the logistics sector is demonstrating resilience. With robust contingency measures in place and an emphasis on safety and reliability, companies are committed to maintaining high service standards. As the holiday shipping season approaches, businesses and consumers alike need to stay informed and proactive about their shipping strategies.

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